William Katz:  Urgent Agenda

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NEW HAMPSHIRE – LATEST POLL – AT 9:31 A.M. ET:  The latest tracker shows it's still Sanders for the Dems, Trump for the GOP.  There does not appear to be any last-minute surge by anyone else.  From WHDH, Manchester: 

Bernie Sanders is now beating Hillary Clinton by 16 points- 56% to 40%, after he lost a point overnight, and she kept what she had.

Undecided is up to 4%, an increase of two points since yesterday.

The tracking poll shows Sanders is too far ahead of Clinton for her to catch him by Tuesday.

All she can do now is try to cut the margin her loss..

But the Republican race is more complicated, and the outcome is a mystery.

Donald Trump stays in the top spot, with 34%, after dropping two points overnight..

Then, a tie for second--at 13%--after Marco Rubio lost a point, and there was no change in Ted Cruz's support.

John Kasich and Jeb Bush also are now tied, at 10%. Kasich gained one point...While Bush held steady.

COMMENT:  We'll know the exact figures tomorrow night.  Reporting should be quick and efficient.  It's a small state, and people vote with ballots.  No caucuses.

Oh, by the way, does anyone remember Iowa?  Wasn't there some kind of primary, or caucus, or something there last week?  It's always the same with these early primaries.  There's a big buildup, some interest in the results, and then the campaigns shift somewhere else.

Wednesday the campaigns move south, to South Carolina.  Hillary Clinton hopes to win there, and possibly win big, because of the large minority vote.  And, on the GOP side, the key question is whether brassy New Yorker Donald Trump will play well with a very different political culture.

February 8,  2016